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Predicted National Merit Scholarship Cutoffs for 2015 and 2016 (Updated)

Posted by Rebecca Safier | Jan 17, 2016 8:30:00 AM

PSAT Info and Strategies


What score do you need on the PSAT to qualify for National Merit distinction? The answer to this question depends on where you live. To achieve National Merit recognition, you need to match or exceed the cutoff score in your home state. 

We’ve compiled the National Merit Semifinalist state cutoffs based on the most recent data from the fall of 2016. Before checking out the qualifying scores, let’s discuss how the National Merit Scholarship Corporation (NMSC) determines who is named Commended Student or Semifinalist.


How to Qualify for National Merit

National Merit is open to U.S. citizens who test in the U.S. in the fall of 11th grade. Only your junior year PSAT counts towards National Merit distinction and scholarships, though taking the PSAT as a sophomore or freshman can be good practice, especially if you’re aiming for top scores.

Students who achieve top scores may receive recognition from the National Merit Scholarship Corporation. NMSC compares your PSAT scores to those of other students in your state using its own Selection Index, which falls on a scale between 48 and 228.

The top 3 to 4% of scorers are named Commended Scholar. The top 1%, usually about 16,000 students, get named National Merit Semifinalists. Semifinalists may go on to apply for Finalist status and potentially win scholarship money.

As I mentioned above, NMSC uses its own Selection Index along with state percentiles. Let’s take a look at how your scores convert to this index.


Just how many different scoring scales are actually on the PSAT?


Understanding Your Scores on the PSAT

To understand your National Merit eligibility, you mainly need to pay attention to your PSAT section scores for Math, Reading, and Writing and Language. Each section is scored between 8 and 38.

NMSC adds each section score together and then multiplies by 2. Let’s say you got a 30 on Math, a 31 on Reading, and a 32 on Writing and Language. Added together, the sum of these scores comes out to 93. Multiply by 2, and you get your National Merit Selection Index Score - 186.

As an equation, this would look like (30 + 31 + 32) x 2 = 186.

Based on our estimates for the qualifying PSAT scores, a score of 186 wouldn’t make it into the top 1%. Check out the cutoff scores below.


Does your PSAT score report look like a jumble of numbers? For National Merit, you just need to understand one: your Selection Index.


Predicted National Merit Scholarship Cutoffs 

The cutoffs in the chart below apply to students who took the newly redesigned version of the PSAT in October of 2015. While the National Merit Scholarship Corporation hasn't released the exact state by state cutoffs it used, we have been able to crowdsource this information from individuals around the country. If you see any state cutoffs that look off, let us know in the comments! 

Here's the full list of Selection Index scores that qualified for National Merit Semifinalist.

State Selection Index Cutoff
Alabama 215
Alaska 213
Arizona 219
Arkansas 213
California 221
Colorado 218
Connecticut 220
Delaware 218
District of Columbia 222
Florida 217
Georgia 219
Hawaii 217
Idaho 214
Illinois 219
Indiana 217
Iowa 215
Kansas 217
Kentucky 215
Louisiana 214
Maine 214
Maryland 221
Massachusetts 222
Michigan 216
Minnesota 219
Mississippi 212
Missouri 216
Montana 210
Nebraska 215
Nevada 214
New Hampshire 216
New Jersey 222
New Mexico 213
New York 219
North Carolina 218
North Dakota 209
Ohio 217
Oklahoma 213
Oregon 219
Pennsylvania 218
Rhode Island 217
South Carolina 215
South Dakota 209
Tennessee 218
Texas 220
Utah 215
Vermont 215
Virginia 221
Washington 220
West Virginia 209
Wisconsin 215
Wyoming 209
Average 216

If you tested in Washington, DC or New Jersey, then the bar was especially high. You had to score at or above a 222. North Dakota, South Dakota, West Virginia, and Wyoming had the lowest cutoffs at 209. The average cutoff for all states was around 216. 

If you haven't taken the PSAT yet and are aiming for National Merit, you could aim to get a Selection Index score two to five points higher than the one on the list. The reason you should aim a little higher is that qualifying scores can fluctuate a little from year to year. 

Based on these cutoffs, how can you figure out what section scores you need on the PSAT to qualify for National Merit?


Let's talk goals.


What Should You Score in Each Section?

As discussed above, NMSC's Selection Index adds your three section scores together and doubles them. In order to figure out what you need by section, you can simply work backward. Divide your state's qualifying score by 2, and then split that up by 3 (or however you want based on your target scores for each section).

Let's consider the average qualifying score of 216. If you have a selection score of 216, then your section scores add up to 108. To get this sum, you may score around 36 in each section, Math, Reading, and Writing and Language. 

If you're much stronger in math than in writing, then you may aim for a perfect 38 on Math and a little lower on Writing and Language. Overall, you need to get a section score in the 30s for each section on the PSAT to compete for National Merit. Again, aim for a few points higher than the minimum, as cutoffs can vary somewhat from year to year.

If your goal is to be named National Merit Semifinalist, then you'll want to put in some effort toward prepping for the PSAT. Below you'll find links to useful resources, like official PSAT practice tests and sample questions.


You'll need to crack the books to get a purrfect score.


Prep for the PSAT

The best way to prepare for the PSAT is to familiarize yourself with official practice questions and self-timed PSAT practice tests. Score your attempts, figure out your strengths and weaknesses, and design a study plan that targets your weak areas.

Depending on where you’re starting out, you may want to put in 40 hours of prep or more. You should familiarize yourself with the test content to review key concepts and get used to the tricky wording of the PSAT/NMSQT. At the same time, you can try out different strategies for answering questions efficiently, like recognizing answer types and using process of elimination.

One essential part of studying is reviewing and analyzing your mistakes. Rather than taking a practice test and moving right on to the next, you should take the time to deconstruct your errors piece by piece. Did you misunderstand the question, lack content knowledge, or make a careless mistake to finish in time? By understanding the root of your mistake, you can figure out what you need to fix for next time.

All of your prep may not only pay off with National Merit distinction and scholarships, but it will also help you achieve excellent scores on the SAT!


What’s Next?

If you achieve amazing PSAT scores and are named Semifinalist, how do you go on to win the scholarship? This guide talks about the application process for moving from National Merit Semifinalist to National Merit Finalist and scholarship winner.

If you're scoring highly on the PSAT, then you may be in a good position to get a perfect score on the SAT. FYI, you don't have to be a genius to get a 1600 - full scores are all about how much and how well you prep! Check out this guide to getting a perfect score on the SAT by a perfect scorer.


Disappointed with your scores? Want to improve your SAT score by 160 points? We've written a guide about the top 5 strategies you must be using to have a shot at improving your score. Download it for free now:

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Rebecca Safier
About the Author

Rebecca graduated with her Master's in Adolescent Counseling from the Harvard Graduate School of Education. She has years of teaching and college counseling experience and is passionate about helping students achieve their goals and improve their well-being. She graduated magna cum laude from Tufts University and scored in the 99th percentile on the SAT.

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